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Red12
41712.3
350117.8
74134.4
Blue15
170017.0
66654.8
6688.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4047102030607080901215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#16
17.82.0
15.813.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.0
red by 0.8
1700
#13
17.03.1
13.810.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Second
7413
#34
4.43.4
12.38.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
blue by 3.8
668
#23
8.23.1
13.910.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
4171
#36
2.33.4
10.67.2
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
blue by 2.5
6665
#30
4.83.1
15.412.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed