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Red47
688412.6
826211.6
186821.3
Blue57
28547.9
97225.3
413513.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4749304060704757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#12
21.30.1
19.319.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 4.1
972
#4
25.30.3
23.523.1
Auto9.7
Teleop6.0
End9.7
Second
6884
#25
12.60.2
11.511.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
blue by 1.3
4135
#22
13.90.5
12.311.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Third
8262
#24
11.60.2
13.713.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 3.7
2854
#31
7.90.5
10.29.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned