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Red20
12806.8
41712.3
502623.0
Blue47
510433.8
30456.9
752811.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4344102030506070802047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#17
23.01.7
24.122.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End7.6
blue by 10.8
33.80.5
28.528.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.8
Second
1280
#32
6.82.6
11.38.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 5.0
7528
#29
11.80.8
8.18.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Third
4171
#36
2.32.6
6.03.4
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
blue by 4.7
3045
#27
6.90.8
3.13.8
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned