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Red45
135120.5
281324.6
688412.6
Blue11
167119.1
1925.1
74134.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5923040801004511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#11
24.60.4
21.421.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 5.5
1671
#19
19.11.4
17.315.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.0
End6.1
Second
20.50.6
18.317.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End4.9
red by 15.5
192
#33
5.11.4
3.92.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
Third
6884
#25
12.60.6
11.310.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 8.2
7413
#34
4.41.4
4.83.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed