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Red46
752811.8
170017.0
605911.9
Blue47
11429.6
186821.3
66654.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562020801004647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
17.00.5
16.416.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.1
End2.5
blue by 12.6
114
#10
29.60.5
26.025.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End11.8
Second
6059
#21
11.90.4
11.311.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 9.3
1868
#12
21.30.5
19.218.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
7528
#29
11.80.5
8.89.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.6
red by 7.0
6665
#30
4.80.7
9.28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed