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Red47
116015.2
59717.7
38806.1
Blue75
704218.5
440015.2
432215.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3857020801001204775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#7
17.70.2
17.517.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 0.8
7042
#10
18.50.4
19.319.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
Second
1160
#11
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
blue by 0.2
4322
#20
15.50.3
16.116.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
Third
3880
#22
6.10.2
5.96.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 9.1
15.20.3
15.716.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End1.1