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Red82
715727.7
133932.9
852113.5
Blue96
420129.5
519927.7
412312.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7471506080901001108296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.2
30.630.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
red by 3.3
29.50.6
28.829.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
27.70.2
25.425.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End2.9
Level
27.70.5
27.127.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Third
8521
#27
13.50.2
13.213.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
red by 1.4
4123
#41
12.10.5
11.411.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2