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Red81
715727.7
133932.9
852113.5
Blue79
420129.5
519927.7
412312.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7573506080901001108179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.1
30.830.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
red by 3.3
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
27.70.1
25.725.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End2.9
Level
27.70.1
27.627.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Third
8521
#27
13.50.1
13.413.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
red by 1.4
4123
#41
12.10.2
11.912.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2