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Red63
242925.1
49999.8
420129.5
Blue28
432215.5
396510.4
723011.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413410203050606328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.9
15.718.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 14.0
4322
#20
15.50.5
15.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
Second
25.12.9
16.319.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End10.3
red by 13.8
7230
#24
11.30.5
5.85.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Third
4999
#30
9.82.9
5.38.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
blue by 0.7
3965
#21
10.40.5
11.210.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed