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Red10
38806.1
40794.8
427610.3
Blue79
58357.6
98741.5
440015.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36381020305060701079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25
10.33.2
11.07.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.2
blue by 31.1
987
#2
41.54.8
20.225.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
Second
3880
#22
6.13.2
12.29.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 9.1
15.22.9
10.113.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
4079
#39
4.83.2
11.38.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End2.0
blue by 2.8
5835
#32
7.64.8
5.410.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned