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Qual 142022 Orange County Regional
Red12
6878.7
46192.9
29420.5
Blue16
58054.7
807110.7
60723.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392701020506070801216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#17
20.53.0
15.0→12.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 9.8
8071
#23
10.73.8
10.7→7.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Second
687
#38
8.71.8
11.2→9.3
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End3.1
red by 3.9
5805
#26
4.71.2
8.1→6.9
Auto0.9
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Third
4619
#42
2.93.0
9.1→6.1
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.4
End1.9
blue by 0.4
6072
#36
3.31.2
10.4→9.2
Auto0.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed