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Red46
116015.2
59717.7
715727.7
Blue29
34087.1
412312.1
852113.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060801001201401604629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.0
19.518.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End2.9
red by 14.2
8521
#27
13.51.5
17.115.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Second
597
#7
17.71.0
11.810.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
red by 5.6
4123
#41
12.11.5
10.08.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
1160
#11
15.21.0
15.514.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
red by 8.1
3408
#35
7.11.5
11.810.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed