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Red15
396510.4
166112.5
46192.9
Blue106
420129.5
98741.5
29420.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20650408010012015106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#13
12.50.9
8.17.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 29.0
987
#2
41.55.6
25.030.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
Second
3965
#21
10.41.5
10.79.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.0
blue by 19.1
29.55.6
18.624.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Third
4619
#42
2.91.5
6.14.6
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.4
End1.9
blue by 17.6
294
#17
20.55.6
12.017.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed