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Red18
86711.8
34087.1
432215.5
Blue51
412312.1
330914.1
395210.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373720304050601851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#20
15.51.8
14.913.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
red by 1.4
3309
#18
14.10.4
13.814.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.6
Second
867
#33
11.81.8
9.37.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
blue by 0.3
4123
#41
12.10.4
8.58.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
3408
#35
7.11.8
10.28.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 2.9
3952
#15
10.10.4
13.113.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed