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Qual 232022 Orange County Regional
Red64
38806.1
30205.4
580215.5
Blue51
41416.1
133932.9
59717.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34520204060801001206451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#28
15.50.7
18.5→19.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 17.4
1339
#3
32.90.0
24.3→24.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
Second
3880
#22
6.10.7
8.4→9.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 11.6
597
#7
17.70.0
10.8→10.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Third
3020
#19
5.40.7
7.1→7.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
blue by 0.7
4141
#37
6.10.0
11.6→11.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed