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Red35
60723.3
64998.6
519927.7
Blue51
704218.5
40794.8
49999.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532304060803551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.7
26.325.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 9.2
7042
#10
18.52.4
10.612.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
Second
6499
#31
8.61.2
9.68.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.7
End-1.0
blue by 1.2
4999
#30
9.82.4
8.210.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Third
6072
#36
3.31.2
10.18.9
Auto0.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 1.5
4079
#39
4.82.4
6.99.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned