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Red10
40794.8
30205.4
41416.1
Blue54
49999.8
432215.5
59717.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303802060801054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#37
6.12.5
11.79.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End-0.1
blue by 11.6
597
#7
17.72.2
10.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
3020
#19
5.42.5
7.85.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
blue by 10.1
4322
#20
15.52.2
13.115.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.8
Third
4079
#39
4.82.5
9.36.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End2.0
blue by 5.0
4999
#30
9.82.2
10.512.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed