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Red65
133932.9
60723.3
242925.1
Blue22
852113.5
395210.1
580215.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5650203040607080906522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.5
24.425.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.1
End7.7
red by 17.4
5802
#28
15.52.8
19.116.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Second
25.11.5
18.419.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End10.3
red by 11.6
8521
#27
13.52.8
14.912.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Third
6072
#36
3.31.5
8.910.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 6.7
3952
#15
10.12.8
13.510.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed