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Red7
6878.7
58357.6
723011.3
Blue72
34087.1
704218.5
519927.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654020406080772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7230
#24
11.32.3
9.26.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 16.4
27.70.6
25.626.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Second
687
#38
8.71.4
10.08.6
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End3.1
blue by 9.9
7042
#10
18.51.0
12.913.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End9.3
Third
5835
#32
7.62.3
8.86.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End2.0
red by 0.5
3408
#35
7.11.0
8.49.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned