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Red76
29420.5
744713.7
347644.1
Blue70
98741.5
116015.2
86711.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59602040801001207670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.9
26.328.2
Auto13.5
Teleop19.8
End10.9
red by 2.7
987
#2
41.51.6
34.636.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End11.9
Second
294
#17
20.51.9
17.219.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 5.3
1160
#11
15.21.6
13.815.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
7447
#12
13.71.9
11.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.2
red by 1.9
867
#33
11.81.6
7.59.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed