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Red54
88889.7
519927.7
166112.5
Blue26
46192.9
242925.1
55004.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55330204060801005426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
26.526.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 2.6
25.11.2
22.821.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End10.3
Second
1661
#13
12.50.4
10.410.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.6
red by 8.1
5500
#40
4.41.1
6.55.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Third
8888
#29
9.70.5
11.512.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
red by 6.8
4619
#42
2.91.2
4.43.2
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed