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Red23
715727.7
40794.8
580215.5
Blue49
116015.2
395210.1
6878.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55270204060802349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.72.6
23.020.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End2.9
red by 12.5
1160
#11
15.21.3
13.915.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Second
5802
#28
15.52.4
17.315.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End1.0
red by 5.4
3952
#15
10.11.3
6.88.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.6
Third
4079
#39
4.82.4
7.45.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End2.0
blue by 3.9
687
#38
8.70.8
8.29.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsEarned