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Red18
48176.7
14528.7
183612.3
Blue31
9686.7
510419.0
85377.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28350102040506070801831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#30
12.30.7
11.010.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End4.7
blue by 6.7
5104
#10
19.00.4
19.419.0
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Second
1452
#19
8.70.7
9.58.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
red by 0.9
8537
#18
7.80.4
6.46.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.6
Third
4817
#27
6.70.8
6.65.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Level
968
#31
6.70.4
6.15.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed