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Red30
350112.2
519925.0
87684.9
Blue54
16617.4
656021.3
80067.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50431020306070803054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.3
26.425.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.7
red by 3.7
21.30.9
23.122.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Second
3501
#16
12.21.4
13.812.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.3
red by 4.4
8006
#14
7.80.9
9.28.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
8768
#33
4.91.3
5.84.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.7
blue by 2.4
1661
#24
7.40.9
8.77.8
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed