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Red113
62023.2
490741.9
802019.2
Blue111
19537.3
412518.3
207331.5
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8092050150200113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#15
41.92.4
37.840.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
red by 4.5
195
#14
37.31.5
38.540.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
Second
620
#37
23.22.4
21.523.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 8.3
2073
#69
31.51.5
29.030.5
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
Third
8020
#27
19.22.4
17.119.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End8.0
red by 0.9
4125
#75
18.31.5
17.719.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsMissed