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Red110
69643.3
188531.7
111445.3
Blue58
321830.2
459816.4
602412.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14455010020011058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.9
47.346.4
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
red by 15.1
3218
#36
30.20.3
30.730.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End11.9
Second
696
#24
43.30.9
43.242.3
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
red by 26.9
4598
#48
16.40.3
16.816.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End5.5
Third
1885
#41
31.70.9
33.532.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
red by 19.3
6024
#59
12.40.3
15.715.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned