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Red65
19537.3
602412.4
162219.5
Blue71
447227.0
207331.5
300813.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82752040601001201401606571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#14
37.31.8
40.038.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
red by 5.8
2073
#69
31.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
Second
1622
#72
19.51.8
21.019.2
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.1
blue by 7.5
4472
#44
27.00.0
26.026.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
Third
6024
#59
12.41.8
15.313.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End4.3
blue by 1.2
3008
#46
13.50.0
14.514.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed