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Red80
365425.5
188531.7
129629.2
Blue108
463542.2
392833.2
262617.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969260708010011012013080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#41
31.70.6
32.531.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
blue by 10.5
4635
#25
42.21.4
40.742.1
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End10.4
Second
1296
#28
29.20.6
31.130.5
Auto12.4
Teleop13.3
End3.6
blue by 4.0
3928
#17
33.21.4
31.232.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End4.8
Third
3654
#33
25.50.6
25.725.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End12.9
red by 8.2
2626
#57
17.21.4
15.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned