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Red93
802019.2
150236.3
86236.4
Blue93
463934.5
69643.3
874216.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100997080901101201309393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#5
36.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End8.0
blue by 6.9
696
#24
43.3
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
Second
1502
#55
36.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End8.7
red by 1.8
4639
#11
34.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.4
End9.8
Third
8020
#27
19.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End8.0
red by 2.7
8742
#66
16.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsMissed