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Red82
490741.9
642140.5
459816.4
Blue114
62023.2
1641.7
204650.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012905015020025082114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#15
41.91.1
40.239.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
blue by 8.5
50.40.5
50.950.4
Auto13.7
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Second
6421
#39
40.51.1
41.240.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
blue by 1.3
16
#18
41.70.5
42.542.0
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
Third
4598
#48
16.41.1
16.415.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End5.5
blue by 6.8
620
#37
23.20.5
23.923.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned