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Red68
808522.7
573526.0
1641.7
Blue64
300813.5
546228.0
262617.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1084601502002506864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#18
41.71.7
40.839.1
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
red by 13.7
5462
#30
28.00.9
27.027.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Second
5735
#67
26.01.7
26.424.7
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End8.4
red by 8.8
2626
#57
17.21.2
14.515.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End8.0
Third
8085
#68
22.71.7
26.124.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.7
End8.3
red by 9.1
3008
#46
13.50.9
9.310.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned