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Red93
207331.5
456135.0
107332.2
Blue130
328427.1
691934.6
111445.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010905015020093130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#16
35.00.4
30.530.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End10.4
blue by 10.3
45.31.7
44.446.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
Second
1073
#40
32.20.4
27.127.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
blue by 2.5
6919
#60
34.61.7
37.238.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Third
2073
#69
31.50.4
29.630.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
red by 4.4
3284
#21
27.11.7
18.720.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsMissed