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Red117
490741.9
69643.3
717835.5
Blue64
162219.5
365425.5
261136.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307405010015020025011764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#24
43.30.1
41.942.0
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
red by 6.5
2611
#32
36.80.8
34.333.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End10.5
Second
4907
#15
41.90.1
38.438.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
red by 16.4
3654
#33
25.50.8
24.023.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End12.9
Third
7178
#19
35.50.1
34.834.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End14.0
red by 16.0
1622
#72
19.50.8
18.317.4
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned