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Red62
415911.2
873811.6
447227.0
Blue83
463934.5
873314.9
188531.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439501506283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#44
27.01.0
26.027.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
blue by 7.5
4639
#11
34.50.2
35.435.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.4
End9.8
Second
8738
#71
11.61.0
10.611.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 20.0
1885
#41
31.70.2
31.931.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
Third
4159
#45
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 3.7
8733
#12
14.90.2
15.114.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned