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Red110
642140.5
62023.2
402843.9
Blue99
463542.2
321830.2
271812.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218405010015020011099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#23
43.90.2
45.545.3
Auto12.3
Teleop20.9
End10.7
red by 1.7
4635
#25
42.20.8
42.142.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End10.4
Second
6421
#39
40.50.2
40.139.9
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
red by 10.2
3218
#36
30.20.8
29.530.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End11.9
Third
620
#37
23.20.2
23.423.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End10.1
red by 10.6
2718
#74
12.60.8
11.912.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned