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Red112
150236.3
853124.4
392833.2
Blue124
5934.8
74519.6
490741.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10182050150112124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#55
36.30.5
35.836.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End8.7
blue by 5.6
4907
#15
41.92.7
39.241.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
Second
3928
#17
33.20.5
32.633.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End4.8
blue by 1.7
59
#8
34.82.7
33.536.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.9
End9.3
Third
8531
#61
24.40.5
23.924.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End5.1
red by 14.8
7451
#73
9.62.7
6.99.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned