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Red54
412518.3
874216.4
69520.8
Blue105
1641.7
162219.5
264235.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52110010015020054105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#38
20.80.1
20.920.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 21.0
16
#18
41.70.3
42.042.4
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
Second
4125
#75
18.30.1
18.418.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End1.5
blue by 16.8
2642
#26
35.10.3
34.735.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End12.2
Third
8742
#66
16.40.1
16.616.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 3.0
1622
#72
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned