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Red130
261136.8
204650.4
249125.0
Blue95
86236.4
111445.3
212917.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191065015020013095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.41.1
50.451.5
Auto13.7
Teleop27.1
End9.6
red by 5.0
45.30.4
45.745.3
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
Second
2611
#32
36.81.1
35.836.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End10.5
red by 0.4
862
#5
36.40.4
37.236.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End8.0
Third
2491
#29
25.01.1
24.025.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End9.5
red by 7.4
2129
#58
17.70.4
18.117.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed