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Red118
360326.1
169064.8
19537.3
Blue91
98748.3
392833.2
533818.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559205020025011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.81.3
70.168.8
Auto17.2
Teleop39.2
End8.5
red by 16.5
987
#10
48.30.2
47.447.2
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End13.0
Second
195
#14
37.31.3
35.734.4
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
red by 4.2
3928
#17
33.20.2
27.026.8
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End4.8
Third
3603
#63
26.11.3
31.930.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 7.2
5338
#54
18.90.2
19.819.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned