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Red81
546228.0
853124.4
207331.5
Blue103
249125.0
69643.3
636424.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888520406010012014016081103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#69
31.50.6
30.029.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
blue by 11.8
696
#24
43.31.5
42.043.5
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
Second
5462
#30
28.00.6
27.927.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End10.0
red by 3.0
2491
#29
25.01.5
19.821.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End9.5
Third
8531
#61
24.40.6
24.123.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End5.1
blue by 0.5
6364
#20
24.91.5
18.419.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned