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Red66
74519.6
271812.6
17951.2
Blue83
188531.7
1641.7
170020.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85970501502002506683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#13
51.21.0
55.854.7
Auto15.7
Teleop25.0
End10.5
red by 9.5
16
#18
41.70.4
39.138.6
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
Second
2718
#74
12.61.0
17.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.8
blue by 19.0
1885
#41
31.70.4
31.430.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
Third
7451
#73
9.61.0
8.37.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 10.4
1700
#42
20.00.4
19.118.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned