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Red80
808522.7
490741.9
463542.2
Blue89
108934.3
717835.5
873314.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122810501001502008089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#25
42.22.2
45.042.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End10.4
red by 6.7
7178
#19
35.50.2
37.337.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End14.0
Second
4907
#15
41.92.2
40.037.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
red by 7.6
1089
#31
34.30.2
33.834.0
Auto11.7
Teleop18.1
End4.5
Third
8085
#68
22.72.2
24.622.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.7
End8.3
red by 7.8
8733
#12
14.90.2
10.310.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsMissed88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned