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Red110
463934.5
261136.8
636424.9
Blue131
572738.9
402843.9
874216.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8998050150200250110131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#32
36.81.7
33.335.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End10.5
blue by 7.1
4028
#23
43.92.4
41.844.2
Auto12.3
Teleop20.9
End10.7
Second
4639
#11
34.51.7
31.232.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.4
End9.8
blue by 4.4
5727
#22
38.92.4
31.133.6
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End9.0
Third
6364
#20
24.91.7
19.921.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
red by 8.5
8742
#66
16.42.4
17.519.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned