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Red56
204650.4
113819.8
271812.6
Blue63
853124.4
802019.2
691934.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93860501505663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.3
48.946.6
Auto13.7
Teleop27.1
End9.6
red by 15.7
6919
#60
34.61.2
40.038.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Second
1138
#53
19.82.3
21.018.6
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End7.3
blue by 4.6
8531
#61
24.41.2
22.120.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Third
2718
#74
12.62.3
16.914.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.8
blue by 6.5
8020
#27
19.21.2
19.218.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsMissed