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Red97
86236.4
263728.6
546228.0
Blue62
188531.7
533818.9
490741.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97937080901001101209762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#5
36.40.4
34.234.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End8.0
blue by 5.5
4907
#15
41.92.0
37.735.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
Second
2637
#43
28.60.4
27.628.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End7.0
blue by 3.0
1885
#41
31.72.0
31.529.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
Third
5462
#30
28.00.4
28.629.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End10.0
red by 9.1
5338
#54
18.92.0
18.716.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned