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Red115
132365.5
884911.2
179636.0
Blue112
86236.4
98748.3
264235.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111850100150200115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.7
69.268.6
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End12.1
red by 17.2
987
#10
48.30.5
47.046.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End13.0
Second
1796
#47
36.00.7
41.841.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End3.2
blue by 0.4
862
#5
36.40.5
34.734.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End8.0
Third
8849
#56
11.20.7
9.99.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.5
End4.5
blue by 23.9
2642
#26
35.10.5
30.630.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned