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Red105
402843.9
533818.9
447227.0
Blue101
245137.8
212917.7
69643.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89112050100150200105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#23
43.90.7
44.545.1
Auto12.3
Teleop20.9
End10.7
red by 0.6
696
#24
43.30.6
42.041.4
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
Second
4472
#44
27.00.7
25.726.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
blue by 10.9
2451
#34
37.80.6
43.042.4
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
Third
5338
#54
18.90.7
16.717.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End7.4
red by 1.2
2129
#58
17.70.6
17.016.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned