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Red100
1641.7
262617.2
69643.3
Blue114
111445.3
19537.3
663722.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111750150200100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#24
43.30.2
41.441.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End10.8
blue by 2.0
45.30.1
47.347.2
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
Second
16
#18
41.70.2
42.142.3
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
red by 4.4
195
#14
37.30.1
36.336.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
Third
2626
#57
17.20.2
13.213.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End8.0
blue by 4.8
6637
#62
22.00.1
23.923.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned