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Red79
107332.2
415322.8
353634.7
Blue103
490741.9
264235.1
113819.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989040608012014079103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.3
34.032.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End8.6
blue by 7.2
4907
#15
41.90.9
36.637.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
Second
1073
#40
32.21.3
32.631.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
blue by 2.9
2642
#26
35.10.9
30.030.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End12.2
Third
4153
#51
22.81.3
24.423.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End10.1
red by 3.0
1138
#53
19.80.9
19.220.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsEarned