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Red118
456135.0
170020.0
132365.5
Blue76
263728.6
636424.9
365425.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1447105010020011876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.5
67.967.4
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End12.1
red by 36.8
2637
#43
28.60.0
27.527.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End7.0
Second
4561
#16
35.00.5
36.736.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End10.4
red by 9.5
3654
#33
25.50.0
25.425.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End12.9
Third
1700
#42
20.00.5
21.020.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 4.9
6364
#20
24.90.0
22.622.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned